Vegetation dynamics

Recent global changes in vegetation dynamics have been continuously monitored from space and, additionally, significant connections with changes of surface climatic variables, such as temperature and precipitation, have been established (Buermann et al., 2004; Nemani et al., 2003). In particular, the observed increment in temperature during spring and autumn over high-latitude regions of the Northern Hemisphere leads to higher photosynthetic activity and larger growing seasons. However, whereas in spring photosynthesis dominates respiration, the opposite takes place in autumn. Consequently, in a future warmer world, carbon sequestration capacity by northern hemisphere ecosystems may decrease faster due to a faster warming in autumn than in spring (Sitch et al., 2008). Nevertheless, changes in the seasonality of temperature and precipitation may have distinct impacts, depending on local characteristics.

Vegetation Indices, as obtained from remote sensing information, has been used widely in the Climatology and Climate Change group of Instituto Dom Luíz (IDL), in order to assess the impact of climate variability on vegetation greenness over Europe and Iberian Peninsula (Gouveia et al., 2008). In particular the impact of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in vegetation activity (Figure 1) and in Net Primary Production (NPP) over Iberian Peninsula has been evaluated (Gouveia et al., 2008, Gouveia and Trigo, 2011), as well as the impact on Portuguese wheat productivity (Gouveia and Trigo, 2011).

Remote sensing information has also been used to monitor drought events and to assess the vegetation response during and after extreme drought events. In particular the case 2004/2005 drought event (Figure 2) in Portugal was analyzed (Gouveia et al., 2009), as well as the years of 1998/99 and 2001/2002. Other drought events in different regions of the globe were also studied and the role of vegetation evaluated, such as the intense 2007/2009 drought in the Fertile Crescent (Trigo et al, 2010) and the 2009/10 drought in China (Barriopedro et al., 2012).

Vegetation indices, namely the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), has been used in order to modeling crops production/productivities, namely in the case of chestnut productivity in the Northeastern Portugal (Pereira et al., 2011) and in the case of Douro wine production (Gouveia et al., 2011).

The Climatology and Climate Change group within collaboration with Land Climate Interaction group has developed a model based on NDVI to monitor the vegetation recovery after large fires in Portugal (Gouveia et al., 2010). The quality of the model has been evaluated and the model applied to other years and areas within Iberian Peninsula and Mediterranean countries (Bastos et al. 2011). The model has also been used to assess the impact of drought periods after large fire events (Gouveia et al, 2012).

Figure 1. Correlation fields of NAOJFM versus NDVIMAM (left panel) and NAOJFM versus NDVIJJA (right panel) over the period from 1982 to 2002. (From Gouveia et al., 2008)

Figure 2. Number of months between September 2004 and July 2005 characterized by lower than usual vegetation activity, as obtained by negative NDVI anomaly values (From Gouveia et al., 2012)